Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.062257 0.070298 0.078498 0.087455 0.096936 0.106644 0.117312
2025-09-21 0.051651 0.063739 0.076612 0.091213 0.107194 0.124046 0.143056
2025-09-28 0.043155 0.057626 0.073623 0.092324 0.113321 0.135939 0.161926
2025-10-05 0.040601 0.057469 0.076621 0.099476 0.125571 0.154062 0.187170
2025-10-12 0.034271 0.052116 0.073032 0.098591 0.128318 0.161250 0.199977
2025-10-19 0.030383 0.049235 0.071950 0.100252 0.133661 0.171091 0.215511
2025-10-26 0.026519 0.045965 0.070069 0.100685 0.137342 0.178850 0.228526
2025-11-02 0.023659 0.043695 0.069183 0.102112 0.142022 0.187619 0.242572
2025-11-09 0.020575 0.040806 0.067284 0.102110 0.144849 0.194122 0.253916
2025-11-16 0.016760 0.036485 0.063241 0.099200 0.143983 0.196149 0.259955
2025-11-23 0.013562 0.032680 0.059606 0.096581 0.143287 0.198230 0.265926
2025-11-30 0.012000 0.031206 0.059000 0.097740 0.147146 0.205646 0.278071
2025-12-07 0.010656 0.030043 0.058888 0.099691 0.152215 0.214794 0.292623
2025-12-14 0.009967 0.029921 0.060241 0.103595 0.159777 0.227011 0.310898
2025-12-21 0.008621 0.028473 0.059587 0.104765 0.163859 0.235013 0.324182
2025-12-28 0.009041 0.030287 0.063735 0.112409 0.176160 0.252985 0.349321
2026-01-04 0.007366 0.027940 0.061595 0.111463 0.177482 0.257592 0.358543
2026-01-11 0.006486 0.027001 0.061491 0.113238 0.182239 0.266355 0.372697
2026-01-18 0.005440 0.025537 0.060484 0.113699 0.185259 0.272959 0.384247
2026-01-25 0.004710 0.024624 0.060273 0.115223 0.189622 0.281192 0.397734
2026-02-01 0.003813 0.023124 0.059026 0.115220 0.191948 0.286876 0.408127
2026-02-08 0.002619 0.020470 0.055698 0.112113 0.190091 0.287285 0.412067
2026-02-15 0.001702 0.018119 0.052679 0.109315 0.188541 0.288002 0.416315